市场避险 金价连三天创高 恐慌指数近一月大涨20%
<div><picture style="box-sizing: border-box;"><font size="4" style="" face="宋体"><br></font></picture></div><picture style="box-sizing: border-box;"><font size="4" style="" face="宋体"><img alt="全球避险情绪升温，黄金等避险资产夯。 （AI生成）" class=" lazyloaded" data-src="https://pgw.worldjournal.com/gw/photo.php?u=https://uc.udn.com.tw/photo/wj/realtime/2025/04/01/31757115.jpg&x=0&y=0&sw=0&sh=0&sl=W&fw=800&exp=3600&q=75" src="https://pgw.worldjournal.com/gw/photo.php?u=https://uc.udn.com.tw/photo/wj/realtime/2025/04/01/31757115.jpg&x=0&y=0&sw=0&sh=0&sl=W&fw=800&exp=3600&q=75" _mstalt="183821794" _msthash="213" style="box-sizing: border-box; border-style: none; object-fit: contain; width: 580px; height: 386px;"></font></picture><figcaption _msttexthash="181033411" _msthash="214" style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1.4; padding-top: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px; color: rgb(126, 126, 126); background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><font size="4" face="宋体">全球避险情绪升温，黄金等避险资产夯。 （AI生成）</font></figcaption><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font _mstmutation="1" _msttexthash="1542797321" _msthash="215" style="box-sizing: border-box;" size="4" face="宋体">全球避险情绪升温，黄金等避险资产夯。 根据彭博资讯报价，国际现货<span _istranslated="1" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: initial; color: rgb(126, 126, 126); text-decoration-line: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">金价</span><font color="#7e7e7e"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">盘中一度劲扬逾1%至每英两3,127.92美元，再破上周五创下的历史新高，不仅连续三个交易日创新高，也已连四周上涨。</span></font></font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font _mstmutation="1" _msttexthash="2527344443" _msthash="216" style="box-sizing: border-box;" size="4" face="宋体">随着美国总统<span _istranslated="1" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: initial; color: rgb(126, 126, 126); text-decoration-line: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">特朗普</span><font color="#7e7e7e"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">预期将在4月2日宣布最新</span></font><span _istranslated="1" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: initial; color: rgb(126, 126, 126); text-decoration-line: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">关税</span><font color="#7e7e7e"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(126, 126, 126); transition: color 0.3s linear, border 0.3s linear;">措施，可能拉高全球贸易战疑虑，市场资金涌向避险资产。 美股恐慌指数VIX飙高，反应市场情绪紧绷，而避险资产黄金价格3月31日以刷新历史新高价展开新一周的交易，日圆对美元也延续上周五涨势。</span></font></font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="2169849123" _msthash="217" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">眼看川普对其对等关税的立场愈来愈强硬，投资人如坐针毡，俗称美股「恐慌指数」、用来衡量市场恐慌程度的芝加哥选择权交易所波动率指数（CBOE VIX），3月31日一度飙升14.5%至24.8，写3月13日以来盘中最高。 VIX过去一个月来已经大涨近20%。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="690559987" _msthash="227" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">金价今年来已上涨约19%，并已至少15度创新高。 这波涨势是因地缘政治和总体经济的不确定性，引发央行买盘和避险需求。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="946001589" _msthash="228" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">即便交换合约交易者已经减少押注联准会（Fed）今年将降息两次的预期，而降息通常有利黄金这类非孳息资产，但前述因素依然强力支撑金价。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="873499315" _msthash="229" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">多家大型银行已经调升对金价的目标价，高盛上周预估年底金价为每英两3,300美元，理由是央行需求高于预期，且流入黄金ETF的资金强劲。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="1131635102" _msthash="230" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">川普上周签署公告，对汽车征收25%关税，市场正审慎因应白宫预定在本周三（2日）宣布「对等关税」。 川普30日晚间表示，基本上所有的国家本周都会被施以关税。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="286899860" _msthash="231" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">同样被投资人视为避险资产的日圆也走升，31日盘中一度升值0.76%至1美元兑148.7日圆。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="932760413" _msthash="232" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">日圆对美元上周五也扬升0.82%，主因28日公布的美国2月核心个人消费支出（PCE）通膨率回升且高于预期，加剧市场对美国停滞性通胀的恐惧。</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"></p><p _msttexthash="391028378" _msthash="233" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 1px; margin-bottom: 20px; line-height: 1.75; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); word-break: break-word;"><font size="4" face="宋体">相较下，欧元对美元31日则贬值0.11%至一美元兑1.0821欧元。 美元兑六个主要货币的指数贬至104.01。</font></p><figure class="article-content__image--story article-content__image--middle" data-url="https://pgw.worldjournal.com/gw/photo.php?u=https://uc.udn.com.tw/photo/wj/realtime/2025/04/01/31757116.jpg&x=0&y=0&sw=0&sh=0&sl=W&fw=800&exp=3600&q=75" style="box-sizing: border-box; width: 580px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><picture style="box-sizing: border-box;"><font size="4" face="宋体"><source 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